Adelaide v Greater Western Sydney

Adelaide Oval

81

97

Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 16 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
68% 18 points 33.9-0.63
Adelaide
80% 27 points 43.0-1.35
Adelaide
79% 31 points 47.0-1.25
Adelaide
75% 23 points 39.0-0.97
Punters
Adelaide
74% -0.93
Adelaide
70% 27 points 43.0-0.74
Adelaide
70% 19 points 35.0-0.75
Adelaide
66% 22 points 38.0-0.54
Adelaide
66% 16 points 32.0-0.58
Adelaide
65% 16 points 32.0-0.53
Adelaide
61% 11 points 27.0-0.36
Adelaide
57% 6 points 21.6-0.21
Greater Western Sydney
51% 1 point 15.00.03

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 11, 2018