North Melbourne v Brisbane Lions
2018-06-03 13:10:00
Docklands

21.15

141

12.15

87

Match complete
North Melbourne won by 54 points

IN

Ahern

Murphy

Daw

Waite

Clarke

Durdin

OUT

IN

Keays

Lester

Berry

Eagles

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		75%	26 points	✓	27.6	0.58
		85%	32 points	✓	22.0	0.76
		81%	30 points	✓	24.1	0.70
		81%	31 points	✓	23.0	0.69
		80%	32 points	✓	22.0	0.68
		78%	29 points	✓	25.0	0.65
		77%	36 points	✓	18.0	0.62
Punters		77%		✓		0.62
		76%	26 points	✓	28.0	0.61
		75%	29 points	✓	25.0	0.58
		70%	29 points	✓	25.0	0.49
		63%	11 points	✓	43.0	0.32
		55%	6 points	✓	48.0	0.15

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.