Hawthorn v Port Adelaide

University of Tasmania Stadium

64

61

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 3 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Port Adelaide
51% 1 point 4.0-0.03
Port Adelaide
59% 8 points 11.0-0.29
Port Adelaide
58% 8 points 11.0-0.25
Port Adelaide
55% 5 points 8.0-0.16
Port Adelaide
53% 3 points 6.0-0.08
Port Adelaide
52% 3 points 6.0-0.07
Punters
Port Adelaide
52% -0.07
Port Adelaide
51% 2 points 5.0-0.04
Port Adelaide
51% 1 point 4.0-0.03
Hawthorn
53% 4 points 1.00.08
Hawthorn
55% 5 points 2.00.15
Hawthorn
56% 5 points 2.00.15
Hawthorn
56% 5 points 2.00.18

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 11, 2018