Essendon v Richmond
2018-06-02 19:25:00
M.C.G.

6.7

43

17.12

114

Match complete
Richmond won by 71 points

IN

Hurley

Ambrose

OUT

IN

Grimes

Houli

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		72%	23 points	✓	47.8	0.52
		82%	34 points	✓	37.1	0.71
		79%	34 points	✓	37.0	0.66
		76%	26 points	✓	45.0	0.60
		75%	24 points	✓	47.0	0.59
		74%	31 points	✓	40.0	0.57
		74%	27 points	✓	44.0	0.56
		72%	21 points	✓	50.0	0.53
		71%	19 points	✓	52.0	0.51
Punters		70%		✓		0.49
		66%	14 points	✓	57.0	0.40
		62%	11 points	✓	60.0	0.31
		61%	14 points	✓	57.0	0.28

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.