Hawthorn v Brisbane Lions

M.C.G.

90

62

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 28 points

IN
Morrison
Patton
Frost
Mitchell
Hardwick
Howe
Scrimshaw
Nash
OUT
IN
Robertson
Starcevich
Robinson
Hodge
Christensen
Robertson
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
59% 8 points 19.50.25
Matter of Stats
Hawthorn
70% 9 points 19.40.48
AFLalytics
Hawthorn
68% 15 points 13.00.45
Swinburne
Hawthorn
68% 19 points 9.00.44
Fat Stats
Hawthorn
67% 21 points 6.90.42
AFL_GO
Hawthorn
66% 11 points 17.00.40
The Flag
Hawthorn
61% 7 points 21.00.29
The Arc
Hawthorn
60% 8 points 20.00.25
Footy Maths Institute
Hawthorn
59% 10 points 18.00.24
Squiggle
Hawthorn
59% 14 points 13.90.23
Live Ladders
Hawthorn
58% 7 points 21.00.22
PlusSixOne
Hawthorn
58% 8 points 20.00.21
Massey Ratings
Hawthorn
57% 6 points 22.00.20
Punters
Hawthorn
54% 4 points 23.70.12
Graft
Hawthorn
51% 1 point 27.00.03
AFL Lab
Brisbane Lions
53% 2 points 29.6-0.09
Stattraction
Brisbane Lions
54% 3 points 30.8-0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2020