Hawthorn v Brisbane Lions
2020-03-22 15:35:00
M.C.G.

14.6

90

9.8

62

Hawthorn won by 28 points

IN

Morrison

Patton

Frost

Mitchell

Hardwick

Howe

Scrimshaw

Nash

OUT

IN

Robertson

Starcevich

Robinson

Hodge

Christensen

Robertson

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		59%	8 points	✓	20.4	0.23
		70%	9 points	✓	19.4	0.48
		68%	15 points	✓	13.0	0.45
		68%	19 points	✓	9.0	0.44
		66%	11 points	✓	17.0	0.40
		61%	7 points	✓	21.0	0.29
s10		60%	9 points	✓	19.4	0.27
		60%	8 points	✓	20.0	0.25
		59%	10 points	✓	18.0	0.24
		59%	14 points	✓	13.9	0.23
		58%	7 points	✓	21.0	0.22
		58%	8 points	✓	20.0	0.21
		57%	6 points	✓	22.0	0.20
Punters		54%	4 points	✓	23.7	0.12
		51%	1 point	✓	27.0	0.03
		53%	2 points	✗	29.6	-0.09
		54%	3 points	✗	30.8	-0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.