Adelaide v Sydney
Adelaide Oval
11.5
71
11.8
74
Sydney won by 3 points
IN
Davis
Frampton
McAsey
Stengle
O'Brien
Murphy
Atkins
Greenwood
Jacobs
Douglas
Betts
Mackay
Knight
Keath
OUT
IN
McInerney
O'Riordan
Naismith
Brand
Hayward
Cunningham
Gray
Taylor
Franklin
Hewett
McVeigh
Menzel
Jack
Reid
Melican
Fox
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 5.6 | -0.11 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 12.8 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 7 points | ✗ | 9.6 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 12.8 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 10 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
57% | 4 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.21 |
|
Punters
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 8.5 | -0.21 |
|
s10
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 5.7 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | -1 points | ✗ | 2.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 3.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.5 | 0.02 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.05 |
|
|
53% | 8 points | ✓ | 4.8 | 0.10 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.14 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.