Adelaide v Sydney

Adelaide Oval

71

74

Match complete
Sydney won by 3 points

IN
Davis
Frampton
McAsey
Stengle
O'Brien
Murphy
Atkins
Greenwood
Jacobs
Douglas
Betts
Mackay
Knight
Keath
OUT
IN
McInerney
O'Riordan
Naismith
Brand
Hayward
Cunningham
Gray
Taylor
Franklin
Hewett
McVeigh
Menzel
Jack
Reid
Melican
Fox
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
54% 3 points 5.9-0.11
AFLalytics
Adelaide
62% 10 points 12.8-0.39
Matter of Stats
Adelaide
61% 7 points 9.6-0.34
PlusSixOne
Adelaide
60% 10 points 12.8-0.31
Footy Maths Institute
Adelaide
59% 10 points 13.0-0.29
The Flag
Adelaide
57% 4 points 7.0-0.21
Punters
Adelaide
57% 6 points 8.5-0.21
Fat Stats
Adelaide
56% 7 points 9.9-0.18
Massey Ratings
Adelaide
54% 3 points 6.0-0.11
Graft
Adelaide
53% 3 points 6.0-0.08
Swinburne
Adelaide
52% 2 points 5.0-0.06
AFL_GO
Adelaide
52% -1 points 2.0-0.06
AFL Lab
Adelaide
51% 0 points 3.0-0.02
Stattraction
Sydney
51% 1 point 2.50.02
The Arc
Sydney
52% 1 point 2.00.05
Squiggle
Sydney
53% 8 points 4.80.10
Live Ladders
Sydney
55% 4 points 1.00.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2020