Richmond v Carlton
M.C.G.
16.9
105
12.9
81
Richmond won by 24 points
IN
Stack
Graham
Houli
Ellis
OUT
IN
Gibbons
Docherty
Newnes
Martin
Jones
Thomas
McKay
Kennedy
O'Brien
Deluca
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
77% | 25 points | ✓ | 1.4 | 0.62 | |
88% | 32 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.82 | ||
87% | 26 points | ✓ | 2.4 | 0.81 | ||
86% | 39 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.79 | ||
85% | 30 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.77 | ||
81% | 37 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.70 | ||
81% | 35 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.70 | ||
81% | 26 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.69 | ||
79% | 29 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.66 | ||
Punters
|
77% | 22 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.62 | |
74% | 26 points | ✓ | 2.4 | 0.57 | ||
74% | 20 points | ✓ | 4.1 | 0.56 | ||
s10
|
73% | 21 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.55 | |
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.45 | ||
67% | 14 points | ✓ | 10.2 | 0.43 | ||
64% | 10 points | ✓ | 13.9 | 0.35 | ||
62% | 18 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.31 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.