Greater Western Sydney v Geelong
Sydney Showground
17.3
105
11.7
73
Greater Western Sydney won by 32 points
IN
Green
Cumming
Langdon
Jacobs
Coniglio
Taranto
Williams
Tomlinson
Reid
Mumford
OUT
IN
Fort
Guthrie
Clark
Rohan
Duncan
Hawkins
Kelly
Stanley
Parfitt
Bews
Kolodjashnij
Henderson
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 32.3 | -0.01 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 40.2 | -0.34 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 38.4 | -0.27 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.19 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 33.5 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.00 |
|
s10
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 30.2 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
54% | 8 points | ✓ | 24.1 | 0.10 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 25.1 | 0.21 |
|
Punters
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 19.9 | 0.34 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.