Essendon v Fremantle
Marvel Stadium
9.9
63
8.9
57
Essendon won by 6 points
IN
Zerk-Thatcher
Ridley
Townsend
Guelfi
Cutler
Smith
Zaharakis
Heppell
Hooker
McKenna
Brown
McKernan
Ambrose
Ham
OUT
IN
Bewley
Sturt
Schultz
Darcy
Taberner
Aish
Cox
Colyer
Ryan
Lobb
Mundy
Hamling
Hill
Langdon
Matera
Blakely
Nyhuis
Jones
Switkowski
Dixon
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 5.2 | 0.32 | |
75% | 12 points | ✓ | 6.3 | 0.58 | ||
69% | 13 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.47 | ||
69% | 16 points | ✓ | 10.4 | 0.47 | ||
69% | 21 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.46 | ||
Punters
|
68% | 34 points | ✓ | 27.9 | 0.45 | |
68% | 19 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.44 | ||
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.34 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.33 | ||
62% | 12 points | ✓ | 6.1 | 0.31 | ||
61% | 3 points | ✓ | 2.8 | 0.28 | ||
s10
|
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 4.6 | 0.28 | |
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.18 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 2.4 | 0.13 | ||
54% | 2 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.11 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.05 | ||
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 5.1 | 0.00 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.