Essendon v Fremantle

Marvel Stadium

63

57

Match complete
Essendon won by 6 points

IN
Zerk-Thatcher
Ridley
Townsend
Guelfi
Cutler
Smith
Zaharakis
Heppell
Hooker
McKenna
Brown
McKernan
Ambrose
Ham
OUT
IN
Bewley
Sturt
Schultz
Darcy
Taberner
Aish
Cox
Colyer
Ryan
Lobb
Mundy
Hamling
Hill
Langdon
Matera
Blakely
Nyhuis
Jones
Switkowski
Dixon
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Essendon
62% 11 points 5.20.32
Matter of Stats
Essendon
75% 12 points 6.30.58
The Flag
Essendon
69% 13 points 7.00.47
AFLalytics
Essendon
69% 16 points 10.40.47
Footy Maths Institute
Essendon
69% 21 points 15.00.46
Punters
Essendon
68% 34 points 27.90.45
Swinburne
Essendon
68% 19 points 13.00.44
Massey Ratings
Essendon
63% 12 points 6.00.34
The Arc
Essendon
63% 11 points 5.00.33
PlusSixOne
Essendon
62% 12 points 6.10.31
AFL Lab
Essendon
61% 3 points 2.80.28
Live Ladders
Essendon
56% 5 points 1.00.18
Stattraction
Essendon
55% 4 points 2.40.13
AFL_GO
Essendon
54% 2 points 4.00.11
Graft
Essendon
52% 2 points 4.00.05
Squiggle
Essendon
50% 1 point 5.10.00

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2020