St Kilda v Western Bulldogs
Docklands
8.13
61
12.11
83
Western Bulldogs won by 22 points
IN
Higgins
Tauru
OUT
IN
McNeil
Liberatore
Treloar
Weightman
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 24.6 | -0.10 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 22.5 | -0.02 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 29.6 | -0.31 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 28.7 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 29.5 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 27.9 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 28.3 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 27.9 | -0.21 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 27.6 | -0.21 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 25.2 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 25.1 | -0.14 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 24.5 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 25.2 | -0.13 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 24.4 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 23.2 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 23.7 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 22.1 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 22.2 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.01 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 19.7 | 0.08 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.25 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 14.1 | 0.26 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 10.1 | 0.33 |
|
|
63% | 7 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.34 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.42 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.