Fremantle v Geelong
2026-06-18 20:10:00 +10:00
Perth Stadium

14.15

99

14.6

90

Fremantle won by 9 points

IN

Cox

Johnson

Serong

Wagner

O'Meara

McDonald

OUT

IN

Bowes

Smith

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		67%	14 points	✓	5.2	0.42
Aggregate		64%	12 points	✓	3.3	0.35
		78%	26 points	✓	17.4	0.64
		74%	23 points	✓	14.0	0.57
		73%	21 points	✓	12.0	0.55
Punters		73%	19 points	✓	10.1	0.55
		72%	23 points	✓	14.0	0.53
		71%	19 points	✓	9.8	0.51
		71%	20 points	✓	11.3	0.51
		71%	19 points	✓	10.3	0.51
		71%	17 points	✓	7.8	0.50
		70%	17 points	✓	8.5	0.49
		69%	15 points	✓	6.0	0.46
		68%	15 points	✓	5.8	0.45
		66%	10 points	✓	1.4	0.39
		65%	14 points	✓	5.0	0.38
		64%	12 points	✓	3.3	0.36
		64%	11 points	✓	2.2	0.34
		62%	11 points	✓	2.0	0.31
		60%	8 points	✓	0.6	0.26
		60%	7 points	✓	2.3	0.26
		58%	5 points	✓	4.5	0.20
		57%	6 points	✓	3.0	0.19
		57%	9 points	✓	0.0	0.18
		55%	5 points	✓	3.9	0.13
		55%	7 points	✓	2.0	0.13
		54%	4 points	✓	5.4	0.12
		54%	1 point	✓	8.0	0.12
		51%	0 points	✗	9.0	-0.03
		52%	1 point	✗	10.4	-0.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.