Gold Coast v Hawthorn
Carrara
14.13
97
17.11
113
Hawthorn won by 16 points
IN
Addinsall
Holman
Witts
Ballard
Gulbin
Jepson
OUT
IN
Morrison
Barrass
Perez
Ryan
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 11.2 | 0.16 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 10.2 | 0.17 |
|
|
72% | 23 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.53 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.42 |
|
|
66% | 10 points | ✓ | 5.7 | 0.39 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 5.2 | 0.34 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.33 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.33 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 5.4 | 0.29 |
|
|
61% | 7 points | ✓ | 8.7 | 0.28 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.24 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 9.4 | 0.24 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 6.7 | 0.24 |
|
|
57% | 10 points | ✓ | 5.9 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 11.3 | 0.15 |
|
Punters
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 11.1 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 11.4 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 12.1 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 12.9 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 12.8 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 12.5 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.10 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 14.1 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 10 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 15.2 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 15.4 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.05 |
|
|
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.25 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.