Greater Western Sydney v Carlton
Sydney Showground
9.11
65
12.16
88
Carlton won by 23 points
IN
Coniglio
McMullin
OUT
IN
Cottrell
Young
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
72% | 19 points | ✗ | 42.1 | -0.85 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
90% | 39 points | ✗ | 62.2 | -2.36 |
|
|
87% | 34 points | ✗ | 56.9 | -1.94 |
|
|
77% | 25 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -1.11 |
|
|
77% | 21 points | ✗ | 44.1 | -1.10 |
|
Punters
|
|
75% | 22 points | ✗ | 44.5 | -1.02 |
|
|
74% | 17 points | ✗ | 39.7 | -0.94 |
|
|
74% | 22 points | ✗ | 44.7 | -0.92 |
|
|
73% | 8 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.86 |
|
|
72% | 19 points | ✗ | 42.4 | -0.83 |
|
|
72% | 19 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -0.82 |
|
|
71% | 15 points | ✗ | 37.9 | -0.78 |
|
|
70% | 23 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.74 |
|
|
70% | 15 points | ✗ | 37.5 | -0.71 |
|
|
69% | 16 points | ✗ | 38.9 | -0.68 |
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 34.3 | -0.49 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
64% | 18 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 13 points | ✗ | 35.9 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 32.9 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 30.2 | -0.28 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 28.2 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 27.2 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 7 points | ✗ | 29.7 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 25.4 | -0.13 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.