Adelaide v Melbourne
2026-06-20 13:15:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

11.13

79

9.8

62

Adelaide won by 17 points

IN

Walker

Keane

Rankine

Worrell

Pedlar

Murray

OUT

IN

Jefferson

Windsor

McDonald

Petty

Laurie

Cooke

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		70%	17 points	✓	0.5	0.48
Aggregate		70%	18 points	✓	0.7	0.48
		76%	21 points	✓	4.1	0.61
		76%	24 points	✓	7.0	0.60
		76%	16 points	✓	1.0	0.60
		75%	23 points	✓	5.8	0.59
		75%	24 points	✓	7.0	0.58
		75%	21 points	✓	4.0	0.58
		75%	33 points	✓	16.0	0.58
		74%	22 points	✓	4.8	0.57
		73%	20 points	✓	3.1	0.55
		73%	19 points	✓	1.7	0.54
Punters		72%	20 points	✓	2.5	0.54
		71%	22 points	✓	5.0	0.51
		71%	18 points	✓	1.2	0.50
		70%	15 points	✓	2.5	0.49
		70%	19 points	✓	2.5	0.49
		70%	18 points	✓	1.0	0.48
		69%	19 points	✓	2.0	0.46
		68%	16 points	✓	1.0	0.45
		68%	21 points	✓	4.0	0.44
		67%	14 points	✓	2.8	0.42
		67%	12 points	✓	5.5	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	3.8	0.40
		66%	11 points	✓	6.4	0.40
		66%	13 points	✓	4.0	0.39
		65%	17 points	✓	0.4	0.39
		65%	12 points	✓	5.4	0.39
		65%	13 points	✓	3.5	0.39
		63%	11 points	✓	6.3	0.32
		55%	7 points	✓	9.8	0.13

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.