St Kilda v Greater Western Sydney
Docklands
14.12
96
13.10
88
St Kilda won by 8 points
IN
Butler
Phillipou
OUT
IN
Angwin
Hogan
Coniglio
Gruzewski
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 6.7 | 0.05 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 7.2 | 0.02 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 1.7 | 0.30 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 2.4 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.18 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 2.2 | 0.18 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 2.6 | 0.18 |
|
|
57% | 4 points | ✓ | 3.5 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 3.1 | 0.15 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 4.5 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 8 points | ✓ | 0.4 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 4.4 | 0.12 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 5.7 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 5.7 | 0.08 |
|
Punters
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 4.9 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 6.8 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 8.7 | -0.03 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 11.5 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 10.9 | -0.10 |
|
|
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 15.1 | -0.20 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 6 points | ✗ | 13.5 | -0.34 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 16.9 | -0.38 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.