Geelong v Gold Coast
2026-06-12 19:40:00 +10:00
Kardinia Park

15.15

105

8.12

60

Geelong won by 45 points

IN

Stevens

Edwards

Humphries

Miers

Stewart

Bowes

OUT

IN

Jepson

Uwland

Ballard

Clohesy

Witts

Powell

Weller

Graham

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		79%	26 points	✓	18.9	0.66
Aggregate		77%	25 points	✓	19.7	0.62
		85%	31 points	✓	14.0	0.77
		84%	37 points	✓	8.1	0.75
		84%	31 points	✓	14.5	0.74
		84%	21 points	✓	23.9	0.74
		83%	31 points	✓	14.5	0.73
		82%	31 points	✓	14.1	0.72
		81%	24 points	✓	20.8	0.70
		81%	30 points	✓	15.3	0.70
		79%	28 points	✓	17.0	0.66
		79%	29 points	✓	15.7	0.66
		79%	28 points	✓	17.5	0.65
		78%	25 points	✓	19.6	0.63
		78%	28 points	✓	17.5	0.63
		78%	23 points	✓	22.5	0.63
Punters		77%	25 points	✓	20.5	0.62
		76%	23 points	✓	22.0	0.61
		76%	26 points	✓	19.0	0.60
		76%	35 points	✓	10.0	0.60
		75%	12 points	✓	33.0	0.59
		75%	23 points	✓	21.8	0.58
		75%	21 points	✓	23.6	0.58
		74%	23 points	✓	22.1	0.57
		73%	21 points	✓	24.0	0.55
		73%	19 points	✓	26.0	0.55
		73%	26 points	✓	19.0	0.55
		72%	24 points	✓	21.1	0.52
		69%	31 points	✓	14.1	0.47
		67%	15 points	✓	30.0	0.42
		64%	16 points	✓	29.0	0.36

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.