Melbourne v Essendon
2026-06-13 13:15:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

13.17

95

6.14

50

Melbourne won by 45 points

IN

Cooke

Fitzgerald

Laurie

Melksham

McDonald

Windsor

Mihocek

Pickett

OUT

IN

Sharp

Ridley

El-Hawli

Kondogiannis

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		85%	33 points	✓	12.0	0.76
Aggregate		81%	29 points	✓	15.7	0.69
		90%	35 points	✓	10.4	0.85
		89%	38 points	✓	7.5	0.82
		88%	26 points	✓	19.0	0.82
		87%	34 points	✓	11.4	0.80
		87%	35 points	✓	10.0	0.79
		86%	34 points	✓	10.9	0.79
		85%	35 points	✓	10.0	0.77
		85%	29 points	✓	15.8	0.76
		84%	33 points	✓	12.0	0.75
Punters		84%	29 points	✓	15.8	0.75
		83%	33 points	✓	12.4	0.74
		83%	32 points	✓	13.0	0.73
		83%	34 points	✓	11.5	0.73
		83%	31 points	✓	14.2	0.72
		82%	33 points	✓	12.4	0.71
		82%	29 points	✓	16.0	0.71
		82%	32 points	✓	13.1	0.70
		81%	28 points	✓	16.9	0.70
		81%	28 points	✓	16.8	0.70
		81%	32 points	✓	13.0	0.70
		80%	27 points	✓	17.6	0.67
		75%	21 points	✓	24.0	0.58
		75%	20 points	✓	25.0	0.58
		74%	26 points	✓	19.0	0.57
		73%	25 points	✓	19.6	0.54
		70%	26 points	✓	19.0	0.48
		69%	23 points	✓	22.0	0.46
		69%	18 points	✓	26.9	0.46
		67%	26 points	✓	19.1	0.41

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.