Western Bulldogs v Adelaide
Docklands
9.10
64
19.7
121
Adelaide won by 57 points
IN
Kennedy
McNeil
OUT
IN
Pedlar
Murray
Thilthorpe
Walker
Ah Chee
Butts
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 64.8 | -0.32 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 62.7 | -0.20 |
|
|
73% | 18 points | ✗ | 75.0 | -0.91 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 69.8 | -0.50 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 69.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 65.7 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 7 points | ✗ | 64.3 | -0.35 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 66.0 | -0.33 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 63.8 | -0.28 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 64.5 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 66.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✗ | 61.5 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 63.4 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 63.7 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 63.1 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 62.9 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 62.5 | -0.21 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 61.7 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 9 points | ✗ | 65.5 | -0.17 |
|
|
54% | 1 point | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 60.3 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 57.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
74% | 13 points | ✓ | 43.6 | 0.56 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.