Richmond v Brisbane Lions
2026-06-14 13:10:00 +10:00
Bellerive Oval

12.8

80

17.13

115

Brisbane Lions won by 35 points

IN

Annand

Rioli

Brown

Ross

Trainor

Roberts-Thomson

OUT

IN

Hipwood

Joyce

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		92%	46 points	✓	11.4	0.89
Aggregate		89%	45 points	✓	9.5	0.83
		99%	60 points	✓	25.4	0.98
		96%	49 points	✓	13.6	0.95
		96%	55 points	✓	20.5	0.94
		95%	61 points	✓	26.0	0.93
		94%	56 points	✓	21.0	0.91
		94%	51 points	✓	16.1	0.91
		93%	48 points	✓	12.5	0.89
		92%	54 points	✓	18.8	0.89
		92%	41 points	✓	6.0	0.88
Punters		92%	51 points	✓	16.1	0.88
		92%	51 points	✓	15.8	0.88
		92%	48 points	✓	13.2	0.87
		91%	43 points	✓	7.7	0.87
		91%	49 points	✓	14.1	0.87
		91%	47 points	✓	12.0	0.87
		90%	41 points	✓	5.7	0.85
		90%	42 points	✓	6.6	0.85
		90%	42 points	✓	7.2	0.85
		90%	47 points	✓	11.9	0.85
		90%	52 points	✓	17.0	0.84
		85%	22 points	✓	12.7	0.76
		84%	33 points	✓	2.0	0.75
		83%	37 points	✓	1.6	0.73
		82%	32 points	✓	3.0	0.71
		81%	38 points	✓	3.0	0.70
		79%	36 points	✓	1.0	0.66
		78%	39 points	✓	4.0	0.64
		76%	44 points	✓	9.0	0.61
		75%	23 points	✓	12.0	0.58

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.