Greater Western Sydney v Brisbane Lions

Sydney Showground
26.10
166
13.10
88

Greater Western Sydney won by 78 points

IN
Stone
Brown
Buckley
Whitfield
Angwin
Leake
OUT
IN
McLachlan
Gallop
Lester
Curtin
OUT
TipWin %Margin ✓MAEBits
s10
Brisbane Lions
58% 7 points ✗84.8-0.26
Aggregate
Brisbane Lions
61% 10 points ✗87.7-0.35
The Wooden Finger
Brisbane Lions
72% 21 points ✗99.0-0.84
AFL Scorigami
Brisbane Lions
72% 18 points ✗96.0-0.82
Stattraction
Brisbane Lions
70% 18 points ✗96.1-0.74
Massey Ratings
Brisbane Lions
70% 16 points ✗93.5-0.71
In The Game
Brisbane Lions
67% 14 points ✗91.8-0.60
Don't Blame the Data
Brisbane Lions
64% 10 points ✗87.7-0.48
PlusSixOne
Brisbane Lions
63% 12 points ✗90.3-0.45
AFL Lab
Brisbane Lions
63% 12 points ✗89.7-0.45
Elo Predicts!
Brisbane Lions
63% 13 points ✗91.0-0.45
HBin
Brisbane Lions
63% 8 points ✗86.4-0.44
footycharts
Brisbane Lions
63% 11 points ✗88.7-0.43
The Footycast
Brisbane Lions
63% 13 points ✗91.3-0.42
Punters
Brisbane Lions
61% 11 points ✗88.8-0.37
ZaphBot
Brisbane Lions
61% 11 points ✗89.0-0.36
Informed Stats
Brisbane Lions
60% 11 points ✗89.0-0.32
Squiggle
Brisbane Lions
60% 9 points ✗87.3-0.31
Winnable
Brisbane Lions
59% 7 points ✗85.2-0.30
What Snoo Thinks
Brisbane Lions
59% 7 points ✗85.4-0.29
Glicko Ratings
Brisbane Lions
59% 8 points ✗85.9-0.29
Holy Grail Ratings
Brisbane Lions
59% 14 points ✗91.8-0.29
Graft
Brisbane Lions
58% 11 points ✗89.0-0.26
Matter of Stats
Brisbane Lions
58% 6 points ✗84.4-0.25
The Cruncher
Brisbane Lions
57% 6 points ✗83.7-0.23
Wheelo Ratings
Brisbane Lions
56% 5 points ✗82.9-0.18
Cheap Stats
Brisbane Lions
54% 5 points ✗83.0-0.12
Hyperion
Brisbane Lions
54% 3 points ✗81.0-0.11
Live Ladders
Brisbane Lions
52% 1 point ✗79.0-0.05
AFLalytics
Brisbane Lions
51% 1 point ✗78.9-0.03
Drop Kick Data
Greater Western Sydney
52% 1 point ✓76.60.05

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 11, 2026