Port Adelaide v Carlton
Adelaide Oval
8.10
58
13.14
92
Carlton won by 34 points
IN
Lai
Marshall
Wehr
Jones
Visentini
Lorenz
OUT
IN
Derksen
Byrne
Young
Williams
Weitering
Hollands
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 45.5 | -0.49 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 43.8 | -0.38 |
|
|
70% | 16 points | ✗ | 49.6 | -0.76 |
|
|
69% | 16 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.68 |
|
|
69% | 16 points | ✗ | 49.8 | -0.67 |
|
|
69% | 12 points | ✗ | 45.5 | -0.67 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.64 |
|
Punters
|
|
66% | 12 points | ✗ | 46.2 | -0.57 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 45.9 | -0.52 |
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 46.4 | -0.51 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 46.2 | -0.47 |
|
|
64% | 9 points | ✗ | 43.4 | -0.46 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 48.4 | -0.45 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 13 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 40.7 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 41.4 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✗ | 38.7 | -0.24 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 38.6 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 37.7 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 38.7 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 37.5 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.09 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.