Geelong v Sydney
2026-05-23 16:15:00 +10:00
Kardinia Park

15.17

107

12.8

80

Geelong won by 27 points

IN

Kolodjashnij

Bruhn

OUT

IN

Hanily

Cleary

Cunningham

Cootee

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		67%	14 points	✓	13.1	0.42
Aggregate		64%	13 points	✓	14.5	0.37
		74%	22 points	✓	4.7	0.56
		73%	22 points	✓	5.0	0.55
		72%	16 points	✓	11.5	0.52
		70%	16 points	✓	11.2	0.49
		70%	13 points	✓	13.9	0.48
		70%	18 points	✓	9.3	0.48
		70%	15 points	✓	11.9	0.48
		68%	15 points	✓	12.4	0.45
		68%	24 points	✓	3.0	0.44
		66%	15 points	✓	11.6	0.41
		66%	14 points	✓	13.2	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	13.5	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	14.1	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	13.6	0.40
		65%	4 points	✓	23.0	0.37
		64%	12 points	✓	15.0	0.36
		64%	15 points	✓	12.0	0.36
Punters		64%	11 points	✓	15.7	0.35
		64%	11 points	✓	16.2	0.35
		63%	12 points	✓	14.9	0.33
		60%	9 points	✓	18.4	0.27
		60%	16 points	✓	11.3	0.27
		59%	6 points	✓	21.5	0.23
		58%	7 points	✓	20.3	0.21
		58%	7 points	✓	20.0	0.21
		57%	8 points	✓	19.0	0.19
		57%	7 points	✓	20.0	0.19
		56%	7 points	✓	20.2	0.18
		55%	4 points	✓	23.0	0.15

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.