Richmond v Essendon

M.C.G.
10.14
74
7.14
56

Richmond won by 18 points

IN
Alger
Lefau
Gray
Fawcett
OUT
IN
Edwards
Guelfi
McKay
Gresham
Wright
Setterfield
Cox
Nguyen
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
s10
Essendon
69% 16 points 33.5-0.67
Aggregate
Essendon
65% 13 points 31.0-0.50
Glicko Ratings
Essendon
78% 27 points 45.3-1.20
The Cruncher
Essendon
77% 22 points 39.7-1.11
Matter of Stats
Essendon
75% 22 points 40.3-1.00
footycharts
Essendon
71% 18 points 36.4-0.81
Squiggle
Essendon
71% 20 points 37.7-0.76
Wheelo Ratings
Essendon
70% 18 points 35.5-0.75
AFLalytics
Essendon
69% 15 points 33.4-0.70
What Snoo Thinks
Essendon
68% 15 points 33.1-0.65
AFL Scorigami
Essendon
68% 15 points 33.0-0.65
Drop Kick Data
Essendon
68% 13 points 31.2-0.63
Winnable
Essendon
67% 14 points 31.7-0.61
HBin
Essendon
66% 11 points 28.6-0.57
Punters
Essendon
66% 13 points 31.2-0.54
Stattraction
Essendon
65% 14 points 31.6-0.53
In The Game
Essendon
65% 10 points 28.3-0.50
Graft
Essendon
65% 19 points 37.0-0.49
Informed Stats
Essendon
64% 14 points 32.0-0.47
Elo Predicts!
Essendon
63% 12 points 30.0-0.45
Cheap Stats
Essendon
63% 16 points 34.0-0.43
The Wooden Finger
Essendon
63% 11 points 29.0-0.43
Don't Blame the Data
Essendon
63% 9 points 26.9-0.43
The Footycast
Essendon
63% 13 points 31.2-0.42
ZaphBot
Essendon
62% 11 points 29.0-0.40
AFL Lab
Essendon
61% 9 points 26.5-0.35
Massey Ratings
Essendon
56% 5 points 22.5-0.17
Live Ladders
Essendon
55% 4 points 22.0-0.15
PlusSixOne
Essendon
54% 4 points 22.4-0.13
Hyperion
Essendon
52% 4 points 22.0-0.06
Holy Grail Ratings
Richmond
50% 0 points 17.90.00

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 11, 2026