Richmond v Essendon

M.C.G.
10.14
74
7.14
56

Richmond won by 18 points

IN
Alger
Lefau
Gray
Fawcett
OUT
IN
Edwards
Guelfi
McKay
Gresham
Wright
Setterfield
Cox
Nguyen
OUT
TipWin %Margin ✓MAEBits
s10
Essendon
69% 16 points ✗33.5-0.67
Aggregate
Essendon
65% 13 points ✗31.0-0.50
Glicko Ratings
Essendon
78% 27 points ✗45.3-1.20
The Cruncher
Essendon
77% 22 points ✗39.7-1.11
Matter of Stats
Essendon
75% 22 points ✗40.3-1.00
footycharts
Essendon
71% 18 points ✗36.4-0.81
Squiggle
Essendon
71% 20 points ✗37.7-0.76
Wheelo Ratings
Essendon
70% 18 points ✗35.5-0.75
AFLalytics
Essendon
69% 15 points ✗33.4-0.70
What Snoo Thinks
Essendon
68% 15 points ✗33.1-0.65
AFL Scorigami
Essendon
68% 15 points ✗33.0-0.65
Drop Kick Data
Essendon
68% 13 points ✗31.2-0.63
Winnable
Essendon
67% 14 points ✗31.7-0.61
HBin
Essendon
66% 11 points ✗28.6-0.57
Punters
Essendon
66% 13 points ✗31.2-0.54
Stattraction
Essendon
65% 14 points ✗31.6-0.53
In The Game
Essendon
65% 10 points ✗28.3-0.50
Graft
Essendon
65% 19 points ✗37.0-0.49
Informed Stats
Essendon
64% 14 points ✗32.0-0.47
Elo Predicts!
Essendon
63% 12 points ✗30.0-0.45
Cheap Stats
Essendon
63% 16 points ✗34.0-0.43
The Wooden Finger
Essendon
63% 11 points ✗29.0-0.43
Don't Blame the Data
Essendon
63% 9 points ✗26.9-0.43
The Footycast
Essendon
63% 13 points ✗31.2-0.42
ZaphBot
Essendon
62% 11 points ✗29.0-0.40
AFL Lab
Essendon
61% 9 points ✗26.5-0.35
Massey Ratings
Essendon
56% 5 points ✗22.5-0.17
Live Ladders
Essendon
55% 4 points ✗22.0-0.15
PlusSixOne
Essendon
54% 4 points ✗22.4-0.13
Hyperion
Essendon
52% 4 points ✗22.0-0.06
Holy Grail Ratings
Richmond
50% 0 points ✓17.90.00

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 11, 2026