Fremantle v St Kilda
2026-05-22 20:30:00 +10:00
Perth Stadium

16.8

104

11.8

74

Fremantle won by 30 points

IN

Wagner

Serong

OUT

IN

Wood

Higgins

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		73%	19 points	✓	11.3	0.54
Aggregate		74%	21 points	✓	8.5	0.56
		86%	38 points	✓	8.0	0.78
		84%	37 points	✓	6.6	0.76
		81%	30 points	✓	0.0	0.70
		81%	28 points	✓	1.6	0.69
		80%	24 points	✓	6.2	0.68
		79%	17 points	✓	13.0	0.66
		79%	26 points	✓	3.9	0.66
Punters		77%	22 points	✓	8.1	0.62
		77%	20 points	✓	10.1	0.62
		76%	22 points	✓	7.6	0.60
		76%	18 points	✓	12.3	0.60
		76%	19 points	✓	11.5	0.59
		74%	24 points	✓	6.0	0.57
		73%	21 points	✓	8.6	0.55
		73%	18 points	✓	12.1	0.55
		73%	20 points	✓	10.0	0.54
		72%	29 points	✓	1.0	0.53
		72%	21 points	✓	9.0	0.52
		71%	18 points	✓	11.7	0.51
		71%	20 points	✓	10.0	0.51
		70%	17 points	✓	13.0	0.50
		70%	23 points	✓	7.0	0.49
		70%	17 points	✓	13.0	0.48
		69%	15 points	✓	15.4	0.46
		69%	20 points	✓	9.9	0.45
		68%	15 points	✓	15.4	0.45
		68%	16 points	✓	14.3	0.44
		65%	12 points	✓	18.0	0.37
		60%	16 points	✓	13.7	0.27

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.