Brisbane Lions v Adelaide
2026-04-26 15:15:00 +10:00
Gabba

19.13

127

11.9

75

Brisbane Lions won by 52 points

IN

Tunstill

McKenna

Fort

Berry

Answerth

Zakostelsky

OUT

IN

Murray

Dawson

Neal-Bullen

Nankervis

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		76%	23 points	✓	28.6	0.60
Aggregate		72%	20 points	✓	32.4	0.52
		84%	33 points	✓	19.2	0.75
		84%	33 points	✓	19.2	0.74
		83%	34 points	✓	17.9	0.74
		82%	28 points	✓	24.5	0.72
		80%	28 points	✓	24.4	0.68
		79%	21 points	✓	30.6	0.65
		78%	27 points	✓	24.9	0.64
		78%	23 points	✓	29.3	0.63
		77%	27 points	✓	25.1	0.61
		74%	21 points	✓	31.0	0.57
Punters		74%	21 points	✓	30.6	0.56
		73%	22 points	✓	30.0	0.55
		72%	17 points	✓	35.3	0.53
		72%	17 points	✓	35.5	0.52
		71%	17 points	✓	34.9	0.50
		70%	17 points	✓	34.7	0.48
		69%	17 points	✓	35.0	0.47
		69%	5 points	✓	47.0	0.46
		69%	30 points	✓	22.2	0.46
		67%	16 points	✓	35.7	0.42
		67%	17 points	✓	35.0	0.42
		67%	14 points	✓	38.4	0.42
		65%	16 points	✓	35.9	0.38
		65%	17 points	✓	35.0	0.38
		65%	12 points	✓	39.8	0.37
		64%	11 points	✓	41.0	0.35
		63%	11 points	✓	41.0	0.33
		60%	11 points	✓	41.0	0.26
		56%	8 points	✓	44.0	0.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.