Essendon v Collingwood
2026-04-25 15:20:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

9.6

60

20.17

137

Collingwood won by 77 points

IN

Sharp

Prior

Gresham

Ridley

OUT

IN

De Goey

Sidebottom

Long

Allan

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		77%	24 points	✓	53.1	0.63
Aggregate		74%	23 points	✓	54.1	0.57
		84%	33 points	✓	44.0	0.75
		83%	26 points	✓	51.4	0.73
		81%	29 points	✓	48.2	0.70
		81%	30 points	✓	47.2	0.70
		81%	26 points	✓	50.9	0.70
		81%	30 points	✓	47.0	0.70
		80%	38 points	✓	39.0	0.69
		80%	30 points	✓	46.7	0.68
		79%	26 points	✓	51.0	0.67
		79%	25 points	✓	51.8	0.66
		79%	29 points	✓	48.0	0.65
		78%	27 points	✓	50.0	0.64
		78%	28 points	✓	48.6	0.63
		75%	23 points	✓	54.0	0.58
		75%	22 points	✓	54.6	0.58
		74%	19 points	✓	58.3	0.57
		73%	20 points	✓	57.4	0.54
		72%	19 points	✓	58.3	0.53
		72%	17 points	✓	60.5	0.52
		71%	26 points	✓	51.0	0.50
		70%	17 points	✓	60.1	0.49
Punters		68%	17 points	✓	60.2	0.44
		67%	14 points	✓	63.0	0.43
		67%	14 points	✓	62.7	0.42
		67%	18 points	✓	58.8	0.42
		66%	15 points	✓	61.7	0.40
		65%	19 points	✓	58.0	0.38
		64%	21 points	✓	56.2	0.35
		58%	6 points	✓	71.0	0.22

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.