Western Bulldogs v Sydney
Docklands
9.6
60
18.18
126
Sydney won by 66 points
IN
Gardner
Smith
Busslinger
Dolan
Treloar
Liberatore
Darcy
Lobb
O'Donnell
Croft
OUT
IN
Cootee
Edwards
Rampe
Heeney
Warner
Hamling
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 68.4 | -0.10 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 66.8 | -0.05 |
|
|
72% | 21 points | ✗ | 87.2 | -0.85 |
|
|
67% | 12 points | ✗ | 78.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 77.7 | -0.50 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 76.3 | -0.39 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 76.0 | -0.39 |
|
|
60% | 1 point | ✗ | 67.0 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 72.7 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 74.0 | -0.28 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 73.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✗ | 74.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 69.6 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 70.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 68.9 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 68.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 67.8 | -0.06 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 66.2 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 64.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 62.9 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 64.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 63.8 | 0.07 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 63.7 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 63.4 | 0.09 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 63.0 | 0.10 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 61.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 63.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 58.7 | 0.24 |
|
|
61% | 14 points | ✓ | 52.0 | 0.29 |
|
Punters
|
|
69% | 20 points | ✓ | 46.2 | 0.46 |
|
|
74% | 20 points | ✓ | 45.7 | 0.57 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.