Richmond v Melbourne
2026-04-24 19:40:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

11.6

72

19.12

126

Melbourne won by 54 points

IN

Cumming

Burton

Lynch

Trezise

Brown

Hopper

Taranto

Short

Banks

Sonsie

Rioli

Fawcett

OUT

IN

Jiath

Petty

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		80%	28 points	✓	26.1	0.69
Aggregate		80%	29 points	✓	24.5	0.67
		86%	37 points	✓	17.0	0.79
		86%	38 points	✓	16.0	0.78
		86%	39 points	✓	15.2	0.78
		86%	32 points	✓	22.2	0.78
		85%	34 points	✓	20.0	0.77
Punters		84%	37 points	✓	16.8	0.76
		84%	35 points	✓	19.0	0.75
		84%	32 points	✓	21.8	0.74
		83%	28 points	✓	26.1	0.73
		83%	32 points	✓	22.5	0.72
		82%	30 points	✓	23.7	0.72
		82%	25 points	✓	29.3	0.71
		82%	29 points	✓	24.8	0.71
		82%	27 points	✓	27.4	0.71
		80%	37 points	✓	17.0	0.68
		80%	29 points	✓	24.8	0.67
		79%	39 points	✓	15.0	0.66
		79%	29 points	✓	25.2	0.65
		78%	25 points	✓	28.6	0.63
		77%	30 points	✓	24.0	0.62
		77%	27 points	✓	27.0	0.62
		77%	24 points	✓	30.0	0.62
		76%	27 points	✓	27.2	0.61
		75%	29 points	✓	25.5	0.59
		74%	23 points	✓	31.0	0.56
		73%	20 points	✓	34.0	0.55
		73%	18 points	✓	36.0	0.55
		71%	17 points	✓	37.2	0.50
		67%	27 points	✓	27.1	0.42

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.