Hawthorn v Gold Coast
2026-04-25 12:30:00 +10:00
York Park

16.16

112

9.9

63

Hawthorn won by 49 points

IN

Dalton

Maginness

Morrison

Scrimshaw

Gunston

Moore

Sicily

Butler

Perez

McCabe

OUT

IN

Ugle-Hagan

Anderson

Jeffrey

Ballard

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		66%	13 points	✓	35.9	0.39
Aggregate		66%	15 points	✓	34.2	0.40
		77%	25 points	✓	23.8	0.62
		74%	22 points	✓	27.0	0.56
		74%	24 points	✓	25.5	0.56
		74%	21 points	✓	28.4	0.56
		73%	23 points	✓	26.0	0.55
		72%	16 points	✓	33.2	0.53
		70%	17 points	✓	31.9	0.49
		70%	18 points	✓	31.0	0.48
		69%	21 points	✓	28.0	0.46
		68%	29 points	✓	19.8	0.45
		68%	15 points	✓	34.0	0.45
		68%	15 points	✓	34.2	0.44
		68%	14 points	✓	34.8	0.44
		67%	14 points	✓	35.0	0.42
		67%	16 points	✓	33.0	0.42
		67%	14 points	✓	35.5	0.41
		65%	14 points	✓	35.4	0.39
		65%	11 points	✓	38.5	0.37
		63%	18 points	✓	31.0	0.34
		63%	10 points	✓	39.0	0.33
		63%	11 points	✓	37.5	0.32
		61%	10 points	✓	38.7	0.28
		60%	9 points	✓	40.3	0.27
		59%	9 points	✓	39.6	0.24
		59%	7 points	✓	42.2	0.23
Punters		58%	7 points	✓	42.4	0.22
		58%	8 points	✓	40.8	0.21
		57%	6 points	✓	43.5	0.20
		55%	6 points	✓	43.0	0.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.