Port Adelaide v St Kilda
Adelaide Oval
9.13
67
12.9
81
St Kilda won by 14 points
IN
Marshall
Zadow
OUT
IN
Boxshall
Clark
Stocker
Howard
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.10 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 13.2 | 0.02 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.37 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 4.6 | 0.29 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 4.7 | 0.28 |
|
|
60% | 11 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 9.3 | 0.17 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 7 points | ✓ | 6.9 | 0.17 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 9.2 | 0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 10.3 | 0.15 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 10.4 | 0.10 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✓ | 12.1 | 0.10 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 13.4 | 0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 14.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 15.2 | -0.04 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 16.1 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 17.1 | -0.09 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 17.1 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 18.5 | -0.13 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 16.5 | -0.14 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 18.9 | -0.21 |
|
|
60% | 1 point | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 23.2 | -0.37 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.