Essendon v Melbourne
Adelaide Oval
17.11
113
10.8
68
Essendon won by 45 points
IN
Robey
Tsatas
Caddy
Ridley
Perkins
Guelfi
Johnson
El-Hawli
OUT
IN
Fritsch
Laurie
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
76% | 23 points | ✗ | 68.3 | -1.08 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
76% | 25 points | ✗ | 69.7 | -1.05 |
|
|
91% | 30 points | ✗ | 74.8 | -2.52 |
|
|
86% | 33 points | ✗ | 78.0 | -1.82 |
|
|
85% | 37 points | ✗ | 82.0 | -1.74 |
|
|
83% | 35 points | ✗ | 80.2 | -1.54 |
|
|
82% | 30 points | ✗ | 75.1 | -1.49 |
|
|
82% | 33 points | ✗ | 78.0 | -1.47 |
|
|
82% | 31 points | ✗ | 76.0 | -1.47 |
|
|
81% | 24 points | ✗ | 68.8 | -1.41 |
|
|
80% | 28 points | ✗ | 72.9 | -1.29 |
|
|
78% | 25 points | ✗ | 70.0 | -1.20 |
|
Punters
|
|
78% | 27 points | ✗ | 72.3 | -1.19 |
|
|
77% | 24 points | ✗ | 69.4 | -1.15 |
|
|
77% | 23 points | ✗ | 68.5 | -1.14 |
|
|
75% | 23 points | ✗ | 67.5 | -0.97 |
|
|
74% | 19 points | ✗ | 64.0 | -0.93 |
|
|
74% | 21 points | ✗ | 65.7 | -0.92 |
|
|
73% | 22 points | ✗ | 67.0 | -0.88 |
|
|
72% | 25 points | ✗ | 69.7 | -0.85 |
|
|
72% | 35 points | ✗ | 80.1 | -0.82 |
|
|
71% | 18 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -0.80 |
|
|
71% | 21 points | ✗ | 66.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 65.0 | -0.78 |
|
|
71% | 27 points | ✗ | 72.0 | -0.77 |
|
|
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 64.8 | -0.77 |
|
|
70% | 15 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.72 |
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 62.1 | -0.72 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 62.6 | -0.72 |
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 62.9 | -0.68 |
|
|
67% | 18 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -0.60 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.