North Melbourne v Brisbane Lions
2026-04-11 12:35:00 +10:00
Barossa Park

9.12

66

13.14

92

Brisbane Lions won by 26 points

IN

Spargo

Logue

Pink

O'Sullivan

OUT

IN

Andrews

McCluggage

Joyce

Tunstill

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		87%	38 points	✓	12.4	0.80
Aggregate		84%	36 points	✓	9.9	0.74
		96%	55 points	✓	29.4	0.93
		95%	55 points	✓	29.0	0.93
		93%	40 points	✓	13.6	0.89
		93%	50 points	✓	24.0	0.89
		93%	45 points	✓	18.9	0.89
		91%	47 points	✓	21.0	0.86
		91%	49 points	✓	22.7	0.86
		90%	39 points	✓	13.0	0.85
		89%	41 points	✓	15.0	0.83
		88%	48 points	✓	21.7	0.82
		88%	43 points	✓	17.0	0.82
Punters		86%	40 points	✓	13.6	0.78
		85%	39 points	✓	13.3	0.77
		85%	37 points	✓	11.2	0.76
		84%	32 points	✓	5.8	0.75
		84%	34 points	✓	7.7	0.75
		83%	21 points	✓	5.5	0.74
		83%	35 points	✓	8.5	0.72
		82%	30 points	✓	4.3	0.72
		80%	27 points	✓	1.1	0.68
		78%	26 points	✓	0.0	0.64
		78%	26 points	✓	0.0	0.63
		78%	39 points	✓	13.0	0.63
		76%	29 points	✓	3.3	0.60
		75%	23 points	✓	3.0	0.59
		74%	21 points	✓	5.2	0.56
		73%	22 points	✓	3.6	0.54
		72%	25 points	✓	1.0	0.53
		66%	25 points	✓	1.4	0.40

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.