Port Adelaide v Essendon
2026-03-22 15:15:00 +11:00
Adelaide Oval

20.13

133

10.10

70

Port Adelaide won by 63 points

IN

Lukosius

Mead

Sweet

Jones

Lord

Visentini

OUT

IN

Kako

May

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		66%	13 points	✓	49.7	0.39
Aggregate		67%	15 points	✓	48.1	0.42
		83%	25 points	✓	37.9	0.73
		75%	18 points	✓	44.6	0.59
		74%	21 points	✓	42.5	0.57
		74%	21 points	✓	42.1	0.57
		74%	22 points	✓	41.0	0.57
		72%	20 points	✓	43.4	0.52
		72%	19 points	✓	44.2	0.52
Punters		71%	18 points	✓	45.0	0.52
		71%	18 points	✓	45.0	0.51
		71%	20 points	✓	43.0	0.51
		70%	15 points	✓	47.7	0.48
		69%	19 points	✓	44.0	0.46
		68%	20 points	✓	43.0	0.45
		68%	10 points	✓	53.0	0.45
		68%	15 points	✓	48.2	0.44
		66%	15 points	✓	47.8	0.40
		65%	13 points	✓	50.0	0.38
		65%	19 points	✓	44.5	0.38
		65%	15 points	✓	48.0	0.38
		65%	19 points	✓	44.0	0.38
		65%	13 points	✓	50.2	0.37
		64%	13 points	✓	50.1	0.36
		61%	9 points	✓	54.0	0.29
		61%	9 points	✓	54.4	0.28
		60%	16 points	✓	47.0	0.27
		53%	2 points	✓	60.6	0.09
		53%	2 points	✓	60.9	0.07
		56%	7 points	✗	70.0	-0.18

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.