Richmond v Gold Coast
2026-03-21 13:15:00 +11:00
M.C.G.

9.6

60

19.14

128

Gold Coast won by 68 points

IN

Lefau

Sonsie

Prestia

Brown

Vlastuin

Mansell

McAuliffe

Faull

Gray

Gibcus

OUT

IN

Ballard

Humphrey

Farrar

Adams

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		79%	27 points	✓	41.0	0.65
Aggregate		78%	28 points	✓	39.9	0.64
		91%	41 points	✓	27.0	0.86
		91%	46 points	✓	22.1	0.86
		89%	33 points	✓	34.8	0.83
		88%	36 points	✓	32.0	0.82
		87%	36 points	✓	32.4	0.81
		87%	37 points	✓	30.7	0.80
		85%	31 points	✓	37.1	0.77
		85%	36 points	✓	32.0	0.77
		85%	32 points	✓	36.0	0.76
		84%	35 points	✓	33.4	0.74
		84%	34 points	✓	34.0	0.74
		83%	33 points	✓	34.8	0.72
Punters		81%	32 points	✓	35.7	0.70
		81%	43 points	✓	25.0	0.70
		79%	38 points	✓	30.0	0.66
		78%	25 points	✓	42.8	0.65
		78%	31 points	✓	37.0	0.64
		76%	30 points	✓	38.4	0.60
		75%	22 points	✓	45.6	0.58
		73%	23 points	✓	45.2	0.55
		71%	20 points	✓	48.0	0.50
		70%	17 points	✓	51.3	0.48
		70%	16 points	✓	51.5	0.48
		67%	16 points	✓	51.9	0.43
		67%	19 points	✓	48.5	0.42
		63%	11 points	✓	57.0	0.34
		57%	10 points	✓	58.2	0.18
		55%	4 points	✓	64.1	0.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.