Hawthorn v Sydney
2026-03-19 19:30:00 +11:00
M.C.G.

14.15

99

13.4

82

Hawthorn won by 17 points

IN

Cleary

Warner

Heeney

Gulden

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		73%	20 points	✓	3.4	0.55
Aggregate		70%	18 points	✓	1.4	0.48
		82%	28 points	✓	10.7	0.72
		81%	33 points	✓	16.0	0.70
		78%	21 points	✓	3.7	0.64
		77%	26 points	✓	9.3	0.63
		76%	25 points	✓	8.3	0.60
		76%	26 points	✓	9.0	0.60
		76%	23 points	✓	5.5	0.60
		75%	28 points	✓	10.9	0.58
Punters		73%	21 points	✓	3.5	0.55
		73%	19 points	✓	2.0	0.55
		72%	19 points	✓	2.0	0.53
		72%	20 points	✓	2.6	0.52
		71%	17 points	✓	0.3	0.50
		70%	27 points	✓	10.0	0.48
		70%	17 points	✓	0.4	0.48
		68%	25 points	✓	7.6	0.45
		68%	16 points	✓	1.0	0.45
		68%	15 points	✓	2.5	0.45
		66%	13 points	✓	3.9	0.39
		65%	9 points	✓	8.0	0.39
		65%	14 points	✓	3.0	0.38
		64%	14 points	✓	3.5	0.36
		63%	10 points	✓	7.4	0.33
		63%	11 points	✓	5.9	0.32
		61%	10 points	✓	7.0	0.28
		60%	12 points	✓	5.0	0.26
		59%	7 points	✓	10.5	0.25
		59%	13 points	✓	3.9	0.23

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.