Adelaide v Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval
13.10
88
14.10
94
Western Bulldogs won by 6 points
IN
Jones
Rankine
Bond
Murray
OUT
IN
Croft
Lewis
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 6.1 | 0.35 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
78% | 26 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.65 |
|
|
75% | 20 points | ✓ | 14.3 | 0.58 |
|
|
73% | 19 points | ✓ | 13.2 | 0.54 |
|
|
69% | 15 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.46 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✓ | 9.5 | 0.43 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.29 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 2.5 | 0.23 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 0.3 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.6 | 0.17 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 3.6 | 0.08 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 4.8 | 0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 5.9 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 6.1 | -0.00 |
|
Punters
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 6.6 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 7.2 | -0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 7.6 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
57% | 9 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.21 |
|
|
57% | 2 points | ✗ | 8.2 | -0.21 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
61% | 13 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.38 |
|
|
62% | 16 points | ✗ | 22.2 | -0.39 |
|
|
65% | 11 points | ✗ | 17.1 | -0.49 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.