Fremantle v Melbourne
2026-03-21 19:35:00 +11:00
Perth Stadium

17.16

118

10.10

70

Fremantle won by 48 points

IN

Scerri

Ryan

Young

Walker

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		69%	17 points	✓	31.4	0.47
Aggregate		67%	16 points	✓	31.9	0.43
		81%	30 points	✓	18.0	0.69
		76%	24 points	✓	24.2	0.60
		75%	18 points	✓	30.2	0.58
		74%	8 points	✓	40.0	0.57
		74%	22 points	✓	25.8	0.57
Punters		74%	21 points	✓	26.8	0.56
		74%	23 points	✓	25.0	0.56
		73%	18 points	✓	29.5	0.55
		73%	20 points	✓	28.3	0.55
		72%	21 points	✓	26.7	0.53
		72%	18 points	✓	29.6	0.52
		71%	19 points	✓	29.5	0.50
		70%	25 points	✓	23.0	0.48
		69%	21 points	✓	27.0	0.46
		69%	18 points	✓	30.0	0.46
		68%	14 points	✓	33.6	0.44
		67%	20 points	✓	28.0	0.42
		66%	15 points	✓	33.0	0.40
		66%	17 points	✓	31.3	0.39
		65%	13 points	✓	35.3	0.39
		65%	20 points	✓	27.5	0.38
		61%	10 points	✓	38.5	0.28
		60%	9 points	✓	39.0	0.27
		59%	8 points	✓	40.0	0.24
		57%	11 points	✓	37.2	0.19
		57%	5 points	✓	43.0	0.18
		52%	2 points	✓	46.3	0.06
		55%	0 points	✗	47.9	-0.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.