Melbourne v St Kilda
M.C.G.
18.12
120
15.17
107
Melbourne won by 13 points
IN
Pickett
Lindsay
Tholstrup
Jiath
Windsor
Lever
Mihocek
Steele
Petracca
Oliver
Viney
McDonald
May
Bowey
McVee
Melksham
OUT
IN
Keeler
Marshall
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.03 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 10.3 | 0.08 |
|
|
74% | 21 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.57 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.33 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 2.2 | 0.33 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✓ | 0.3 | 0.32 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✓ | 4.5 | 0.32 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.29 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 4.7 | 0.25 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 5.3 | 0.25 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 7.2 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 9 points | ✓ | 4.3 | 0.18 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 7.6 | 0.18 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 6 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 8.7 | 0.07 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 13.5 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 14.2 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 14.4 | -0.04 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 17.4 | -0.17 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 17.5 | -0.18 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 19.1 | -0.22 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 19.8 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 10 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.29 |
|
Punters
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 23.4 | -0.34 |
|
|
62% | 5 points | ✗ | 18.2 | -0.38 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.