Sydney v Brisbane Lions
2026-03-14 19:10:00 +11:00
S.C.G.

15.14

104

8.12

60

Sydney won by 44 points

IN

Annable

Tunstill

McCarthy

Answerth

Draper

McCluggage

Andrews

Bailey

Morris

Gardiner

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		53%	3 points	✓	41.0	0.10
Aggregate		51%	1 point	✗	45.2	-0.03
		79%	25 points	✗	69.0	-1.26
		72%	20 points	✗	64.0	-0.84
		67%	18 points	✗	61.9	-0.58
		66%	15 points	✗	58.6	-0.58
		65%	16 points	✗	59.5	-0.49
		63%	12 points	✗	56.0	-0.44
		62%	10 points	✗	54.0	-0.40
		62%	16 points	✗	60.2	-0.40
		59%	6 points	✗	50.2	-0.29
		54%	3 points	✗	47.4	-0.12
		53%	3 points	✗	47.0	-0.10
		52%	3 points	✗	47.0	-0.06
		51%	1 point	✗	45.0	-0.03
		51%	0 points	✓	43.5	0.02
		51%	1 point	✓	43.2	0.02
		52%	2 points	✓	42.4	0.05
		52%	3 points	✓	40.6	0.06
		53%	3 points	✓	41.2	0.09
		54%	3 points	✓	40.7	0.12
		56%	5 points	✓	39.4	0.16
		56%	5 points	✓	39.0	0.17
		58%	7 points	✓	36.9	0.21
		58%	6 points	✓	37.8	0.21
		62%	15 points	✓	29.0	0.31
		64%	10 points	✓	33.8	0.34
		64%	12 points	✓	32.1	0.35
		65%	15 points	✓	29.0	0.38
Punters		67%	15 points	✓	28.8	0.41
		69%	12 points	✓	32.3	0.46

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.