Carlton v Richmond
2026-03-12 19:30:00 +11:00
M.C.G.

10.15

75

9.17

71

Carlton won by 4 points

IN

O'Keeffe

Carroll

Cowan

Saad

Moir

Reidy

OUT

IN

Grlj

Gray

Faull

McAuliffe

Lalor

Green

Ralphsmith

Prestia

Brown

McIntosh

Sonsie

Young

Trainor

Hotton

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		74%	22 points	✓	17.6	0.56
Aggregate		70%	19 points	✓	14.7	0.49
		82%	23 points	✓	19.2	0.72
		82%	31 points	✓	27.0	0.71
		81%	24 points	✓	20.1	0.70
		80%	28 points	✓	23.5	0.68
		79%	26 points	✓	22.0	0.66
		79%	28 points	✓	24.0	0.66
		78%	27 points	✓	23.1	0.64
		78%	24 points	✓	19.8	0.63
		78%	32 points	✓	27.5	0.63
Punters		74%	21 points	✓	17.1	0.57
		74%	19 points	✓	14.6	0.57
		73%	21 points	✓	17.3	0.55
		73%	21 points	✓	17.0	0.54
		72%	21 points	✓	17.2	0.52
		72%	31 points	✓	26.7	0.52
		71%	22 points	✓	17.9	0.50
		70%	19 points	✓	15.0	0.49
		70%	18 points	✓	13.8	0.48
		69%	24 points	✓	20.0	0.47
		68%	15 points	✓	11.4	0.45
		67%	15 points	✓	10.8	0.42
		67%	15 points	✓	11.3	0.42
		65%	12 points	✓	8.1	0.37
		64%	12 points	✓	7.6	0.36
		62%	9 points	✓	5.2	0.32
		60%	8 points	✓	4.0	0.26
		54%	6 points	✓	2.0	0.11
		53%	3 points	✓	1.3	0.10
		60%	11 points	✗	15.0	-0.32

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.