Collingwood v Adelaide
M.C.G.
11.13
79
13.15
93
Adelaide won by 14 points
IN
Murray
McAndrew
Bond
Cook
Butts
Ah Chee
O'Brien
Keane
Hinge
Curtin
Smith
Taylor
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 27.4 | -0.54 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.34 |
|
|
76% | 23 points | ✗ | 36.6 | -1.06 |
|
|
72% | 21 points | ✗ | 34.5 | -0.86 |
|
|
72% | 21 points | ✗ | 35.4 | -0.83 |
|
|
71% | 17 points | ✗ | 30.6 | -0.81 |
|
|
69% | 13 points | ✗ | 27.3 | -0.68 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 30.1 | -0.66 |
|
|
67% | 20 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
67% | 10 points | ✗ | 24.3 | -0.59 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 27.5 | -0.57 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.45 |
|
Punters
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 23.1 | -0.40 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 21.9 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 1 point | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.24 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 20.5 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 21.3 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 20.4 | -0.20 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 20.2 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 17.9 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 17.6 | -0.13 |
|
|
53% | 5 points | ✗ | 18.8 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 16.1 | -0.08 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 14.8 | -0.03 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.