Essendon v Hawthorn @ M.C.G.

13.5

21.19

145

Hawthorn won by 62 points

Sharp

El Achkar

Kondogiannis

Johnson

May

Reid

Parish

Caddy

Fiorini

McKay

Caldwell

Goldstein

Shiel

Laverde

Kako

Guelfi

Clarke

Menzie

Lual

McMahon

El-Hawli

Unwin

OUT

Reeves

Mackenzie

Morrison

Maginness

OUT

	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10	84%	34 points	✓	28.4	0.75
Aggregate	82%	34 points	✓	28.4	0.71
	95%	47 points	✓	15.0	0.93
	93%	53 points	✓	9.0	0.90
	92%	43 points	✓	19.0	0.87
	90%	43 points	✓	19.4	0.86
	90%	34 points	✓	27.6	0.85
	89%	41 points	✓	21.1	0.83
	88%	39 points	✓	22.8	0.82
	87%	34 points	✓	28.1	0.81
	87%	36 points	✓	26.0	0.80
	86%	39 points	✓	22.6	0.79
	85%	44 points	✓	17.9	0.76
	84%	37 points	✓	25.0	0.75
	83%	31 points	✓	31.4	0.73
Punters	83%	31 points	✓	31.2	0.72
	82%	33 points	✓	28.9	0.72
	82%	30 points	✓	32.1	0.71
	81%	30 points	✓	32.0	0.70
	80%	28 points	✓	34.5	0.68
	79%	41 points	✓	21.0	0.66
	79%	34 points	✓	28.5	0.65
	78%	28 points	✓	34.5	0.65
	78%	28 points	✓	33.9	0.65
	78%	25 points	✓	37.0	0.64
	77%	23 points	✓	38.6	0.63
	76%	35 points	✓	27.4	0.60
	75%	25 points	✓	37.2	0.58
	69%	31 points	✓	31.5	0.47
	68%	17 points	✓	44.8	0.44
	64%	15 points	✓	47.0	0.36

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.