Melbourne v Collingwood
2025-06-09 15:20:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

10.11

71

11.6

72

Collingwood won by 1 point

IN

Tholstrup

Howes

van Rooyen

Sharp

Laurie

Johnson

OUT

IN

Hayes

McStay

Lipinski

Schultz

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		70%	18 points	✓	17.3	0.48
Aggregate		72%	20 points	✓	19.1	0.52
		84%	35 points	✓	34.0	0.75
		78%	25 points	✓	23.8	0.64
		77%	31 points	✓	30.2	0.63
		76%	21 points	✓	19.7	0.60
		76%	20 points	✓	19.1	0.60
Punters		76%	23 points	✓	21.8	0.60
		75%	21 points	✓	20.0	0.59
		75%	24 points	✓	23.4	0.58
		75%	24 points	✓	23.0	0.58
		74%	23 points	✓	21.5	0.58
		74%	30 points	✓	29.0	0.56
		72%	21 points	✓	19.9	0.54
		72%	21 points	✓	20.2	0.53
		72%	19 points	✓	18.0	0.53
		72%	24 points	✓	23.0	0.53
		72%	19 points	✓	17.5	0.52
		70%	20 points	✓	19.0	0.48
		70%	17 points	✓	15.5	0.48
		69%	17 points	✓	16.3	0.47
		69%	11 points	✓	10.4	0.46
		68%	16 points	✓	14.9	0.45
		68%	17 points	✓	16.3	0.45
		68%	16 points	✓	15.0	0.44
		67%	17 points	✓	16.3	0.42
		57%	7 points	✓	5.8	0.18
		55%	5 points	✓	4.0	0.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.