Geelong v Gold Coast
2025-06-07 16:15:00 +10:00
Kardinia Park

9.7

61

5.7

37

Geelong won by 24 points

IN

Martin

Dangerfield

Smith

Henry

OUT

IN

Lemmens

Moyle

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		73%	21 points	✓	2.7	0.55
Aggregate		70%	19 points	✓	5.4	0.49
		84%	34 points	✓	10.2	0.75
		79%	24 points	✓	0.1	0.66
		77%	25 points	✓	0.6	0.62
		76%	23 points	✓	1.4	0.61
		75%	25 points	✓	1.0	0.58
		74%	23 points	✓	0.9	0.57
		74%	24 points	✓	0.3	0.57
		74%	23 points	✓	1.3	0.56
		73%	21 points	✓	3.1	0.54
		72%	14 points	✓	10.1	0.53
		72%	24 points	✓	0.0	0.53
		71%	19 points	✓	5.5	0.50
		70%	9 points	✓	15.0	0.49
		70%	17 points	✓	7.0	0.48
		69%	25 points	✓	1.0	0.47
		69%	18 points	✓	6.1	0.47
Punters		69%	16 points	✓	8.0	0.46
		69%	17 points	✓	7.0	0.46
		68%	15 points	✓	9.4	0.44
		67%	15 points	✓	9.1	0.42
		66%	17 points	✓	6.7	0.41
		64%	14 points	✓	10.1	0.35
		62%	16 points	✓	8.0	0.31
		62%	12 points	✓	11.8	0.31
		59%	9 points	✓	15.0	0.24
		59%	7 points	✓	17.2	0.24

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.