Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn
Docklands
8.11
59
12.9
81
Hawthorn won by 22 points
IN
Dolan
Gardner
Treloar
Duryea
Johannisen
Baker
OUT
IN
Ramsden
Butler
Mitchell
Sicily
Scrimshaw
Watson
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.63 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 40.3 | -0.71 |
|
|
82% | 30 points | ✗ | 51.9 | -1.43 |
|
|
81% | 31 points | ✗ | 53.3 | -1.42 |
|
|
80% | 25 points | ✗ | 47.3 | -1.30 |
|
|
80% | 30 points | ✗ | 52.1 | -1.29 |
|
|
79% | 20 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -1.22 |
|
|
78% | 26 points | ✗ | 48.1 | -1.18 |
|
|
77% | 27 points | ✗ | 48.9 | -1.12 |
|
|
76% | 24 points | ✗ | 46.3 | -1.03 |
|
|
75% | 24 points | ✗ | 46.2 | -1.01 |
|
|
75% | 20 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -1.00 |
|
Punters
|
|
74% | 20 points | ✗ | 41.6 | -0.92 |
|
|
73% | 24 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.89 |
|
|
72% | 18 points | ✗ | 40.2 | -0.81 |
|
|
71% | 19 points | ✗ | 40.6 | -0.77 |
|
|
68% | 20 points | ✗ | 41.5 | -0.66 |
|
|
68% | 23 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.63 |
|
|
66% | 16 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 34.5 | -0.54 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.46 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 33.9 | -0.41 |
|
|
59% | 13 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
57% | 9 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.21 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 27.7 | -0.17 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.12 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.