Carlton v Essendon
2025-06-08 19:20:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

11.12

78

11.4

70

Carlton won by 8 points

IN

O'Keeffe

Fantasia

Silvagni

Cincotta

Williams

McKay

Young

Durdin

Binns

O'Farrell

OUT

IN

Lual

Parish

Redman

Tsatas

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		68%	15 points	✓	7.3	0.43
Aggregate		67%	15 points	✓	7.4	0.42
		79%	27 points	✓	19.2	0.67
		77%	30 points	✓	22.0	0.62
		74%	19 points	✓	10.5	0.56
		73%	18 points	✓	10.4	0.55
		73%	20 points	✓	11.9	0.54
		72%	17 points	✓	9.4	0.54
		72%	20 points	✓	12.5	0.53
		72%	21 points	✓	13.1	0.53
		72%	19 points	✓	10.7	0.53
		70%	19 points	✓	10.5	0.49
Punters		69%	14 points	✓	5.8	0.47
		69%	20 points	✓	11.8	0.47
		69%	18 points	✓	10.0	0.46
		69%	18 points	✓	9.6	0.46
		67%	16 points	✓	8.4	0.43
		67%	16 points	✓	8.4	0.42
		64%	18 points	✓	10.0	0.36
		64%	11 points	✓	3.0	0.35
		63%	12 points	✓	4.0	0.33
		63%	15 points	✓	7.0	0.32
		62%	8 points	✓	0.2	0.31
		60%	7 points	✓	1.2	0.26
		59%	1 point	✓	7.0	0.23
		58%	8 points	✓	0.3	0.22
		58%	8 points	✓	0.0	0.21
		50%	0 points	✗	8.0	0.00

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.