Adelaide v Brisbane Lions
2025-06-06 19:40:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

10.8

68

8.15

63

Adelaide won by 5 points

IN

Laird

Draper

OUT

IN

Gallop

Gardiner

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		62%	11 points	✓	5.9	0.31
Aggregate		63%	12 points	✓	7.0	0.34
		76%	17 points	✓	11.8	0.61
		74%	20 points	✓	14.9	0.57
		72%	20 points	✓	14.7	0.53
		71%	20 points	✓	15.3	0.51
		71%	27 points	✓	22.0	0.51
		70%	15 points	✓	10.3	0.48
		70%	18 points	✓	12.7	0.48
		70%	19 points	✓	13.8	0.48
		67%	16 points	✓	11.0	0.42
		67%	15 points	✓	10.0	0.42
		67%	16 points	✓	11.0	0.42
		67%	16 points	✓	10.5	0.42
		66%	14 points	✓	9.4	0.40
		66%	17 points	✓	11.8	0.40
Punters		65%	10 points	✓	5.3	0.37
		65%	11 points	✓	5.5	0.37
		62%	10 points	✓	4.8	0.31
		62%	12 points	✓	7.0	0.31
		57%	8 points	✓	2.5	0.20
		57%	6 points	✓	1.1	0.18
		56%	4 points	✓	0.6	0.16
		55%	8 points	✓	3.0	0.14
		50%	0 points	✓	4.7	0.01
		50%	1 point	✗	6.0	-0.01
		53%	2 points	✗	7.0	-0.09
		55%	4 points	✗	9.0	-0.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.