Melbourne v St Kilda
Traeger Park
7.21
63
14.7
91
St Kilda won by 28 points
IN
Laurie
Spargo
OUT
IN
Carroll
Butler
Wilson
O'Connell
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 34.7 | -0.26 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 35.2 | -0.26 |
|
|
69% | 15 points | ✗ | 42.6 | -0.69 |
|
Punters
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 41.2 | -0.56 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 40.7 | -0.51 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 39.8 | -0.46 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 38.9 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 37.8 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 8 points | ✗ | 35.5 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.33 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 35.4 | -0.28 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.28 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 35.7 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 34.1 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 35.8 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 34.8 | -0.21 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.21 |
|
|
55% | 8 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 1 point | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 31.1 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 30.1 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 30.3 | -0.08 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 29.9 | -0.02 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.