Collingwood v Hawthorn
2025-05-30 19:40:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

16.11

107

8.8

56

Collingwood won by 51 points

IN

Schultz

Hill

Sidebottom

Moore

Pendlebury

Maynard

Cox

Markov

Parker

Hayes

OUT

IN

Impey

Mackenzie

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		61%	9 points	✓	42.4	0.28
Aggregate		58%	7 points	✓	44.0	0.21
		72%	21 points	✓	29.9	0.52
		70%	18 points	✓	33.2	0.48
		68%	14 points	✓	37.5	0.43
		65%	11 points	✓	40.0	0.38
		65%	14 points	✓	37.1	0.37
		62%	13 points	✓	38.5	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	40.6	0.31
		61%	13 points	✓	38.0	0.28
		60%	9 points	✓	41.9	0.27
Punters		60%	8 points	✓	43.2	0.26
		59%	8 points	✓	43.4	0.25
		59%	7 points	✓	44.0	0.24
		58%	1 point	✓	50.0	0.22
		58%	6 points	✓	45.1	0.21
		58%	6 points	✓	44.7	0.20
		57%	11 points	✓	40.0	0.19
		56%	5 points	✓	46.2	0.16
		55%	5 points	✓	46.2	0.13
		55%	5 points	✓	46.4	0.13
		54%	4 points	✓	47.5	0.11
		53%	3 points	✓	48.0	0.08
		53%	3 points	✓	48.0	0.08
		53%	2 points	✓	49.2	0.07
		54%	3 points	✗	54.2	-0.12
		55%	5 points	✗	56.0	-0.15
		57%	5 points	✗	56.0	-0.21

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.