Greater Western Sydney v Richmond
2025-05-31 16:15:00 +10:00
Sydney Showground

12.8

80

10.17

77

Greater Western Sydney won by 3 points

IN

McMullin

Kelly

Wehr

Rowston

OUT

IN

Sonsie

Lynch

Prestia

Nankervis

Dow

Rioli

Lalor

Ryan

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		87%	40 points	✓	36.9	0.80
Aggregate		88%	41 points	✓	38.5	0.81
		95%	47 points	✓	44.4	0.92
Punters		93%	47 points	✓	44.3	0.89
		92%	44 points	✓	41.3	0.88
		92%	52 points	✓	49.0	0.88
		92%	41 points	✓	38.0	0.88
		92%	53 points	✓	50.0	0.87
		91%	41 points	✓	37.5	0.86
		90%	40 points	✓	36.9	0.85
		90%	47 points	✓	43.8	0.85
		90%	42 points	✓	38.6	0.84
		89%	45 points	✓	42.5	0.84
		89%	59 points	✓	56.0	0.84
		89%	46 points	✓	42.7	0.84
		89%	44 points	✓	41.0	0.82
		88%	47 points	✓	44.0	0.82
		88%	43 points	✓	40.0	0.82
		88%	41 points	✓	38.3	0.81
		87%	37 points	✓	33.7	0.81
		87%	37 points	✓	34.0	0.79
		86%	43 points	✓	39.7	0.78
		86%	45 points	✓	41.9	0.77
		85%	30 points	✓	27.0	0.76
		84%	25 points	✓	22.0	0.75
		83%	34 points	✓	31.1	0.73
		82%	30 points	✓	27.5	0.70
		67%	18 points	✓	14.5	0.42

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.